Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 4.160263 4.949344 5.826719 6.871641 8.079089 9.427298 11.043316
2025-09-28 2.993880 3.999053 5.231205 6.840537 8.873413 11.341137 14.546844
2025-10-05 2.456662 3.606066 5.129901 7.270110 10.165549 13.909265 19.071532
2025-10-12 2.024121 3.227040 4.933808 7.483725 11.137168 16.112824 23.314354
2025-10-19 1.736124 2.977422 4.846291 7.790976 12.220579 18.521580 28.014616
2025-10-26 1.447532 2.661583 4.594874 7.796069 12.832388 20.285862 31.928629
2025-11-02 1.169508 2.303588 4.211427 7.525660 12.967858 21.328961 34.838954
2025-11-09 0.952960 2.005914 3.872676 7.265732 13.064441 22.286503 37.656758
2025-11-16 0.819581 1.832570 3.715453 7.278746 13.586806 23.926584 41.629424
2025-11-23 0.710015 1.682958 3.575202 7.295839 14.103994 25.581841 45.728051
2025-11-30 0.608940 1.529978 3.403465 7.228002 14.454871 26.973515 49.476320
2025-12-07 0.498062 1.332309 3.112364 6.892827 14.280497 27.442685 51.690359
2025-12-14 0.430112 1.219956 2.981621 6.861325 14.678066 28.962597 55.863663
2025-12-21 0.371665 1.117735 2.856442 6.824420 15.060149 30.483823 60.150983
2025-12-28 0.353588 1.113862 2.947889 7.251247 16.390831 33.832946 67.929922
2026-01-04 0.323050 1.070289 2.941267 7.463800 17.306664 36.469218 74.573312
2026-01-11 0.301154 1.045815 2.975780 7.770151 18.440287 39.593026 82.307831
2026-01-18 0.265851 0.974277 2.883657 7.775178 18.936959 41.514757 87.892511
2026-01-25 0.222834 0.868145 2.685857 7.505396 18.811716 42.195246 91.135851
2026-02-01 0.186861 0.774256 2.503269 7.246084 18.678737 42.840698 94.337215
2026-02-08 0.165950 0.725126 2.434149 7.259065 19.158434 44.766061 100.175420
2026-02-15 0.147727 0.680447 2.370022 7.276117 19.647052 46.738939 106.218990
2026-02-22 0.129261 0.629439 2.278418 7.208443 19.927236 48.284807 111.475981